Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.877398 2.171661 2.495108 2.876768 3.314585 3.800897 4.381859
2025-03-16 1.407644 1.777137 2.218056 2.782107 3.483684 4.326797 5.416220
2025-03-23 1.188817 1.619674 2.171818 2.929222 3.939134 5.237239 7.030417
2025-03-30 1.005928 1.467655 2.098406 3.019281 4.325412 6.107174 8.717643
2025-04-06 0.841476 1.306966 1.980963 3.022234 4.583923 6.831450 10.302767
2025-04-13 0.674947 1.111303 1.778262 2.864146 4.578920 7.171355 11.374017
2025-04-20 0.599375 1.040240 1.747748 2.955186 4.951912 8.106090 13.444312
2025-04-27 0.548495 0.999364 1.756149 3.104774 5.431180 9.256399 15.989102
2025-05-04 0.492054 0.938824 1.721260 3.173686 5.780699 10.231510 18.358048
2025-05-11 0.439052 0.875206 1.670438 3.204733 6.063866 11.120809 20.677607
2025-05-18 0.378693 0.787729 1.563228 3.116443 6.117471 11.609237 22.337049
2025-05-25 0.320430 0.694698 1.431682 2.962131 6.024262 11.814592 23.491183
2025-06-01 0.287125 0.648445 1.386985 2.976179 6.266592 12.691308 26.055770
2025-06-08 0.249489 0.586890 1.302658 2.898256 6.315989 13.204313 27.979214
2025-06-15 0.237790 0.580523 1.332577 3.063673 6.887277 14.817406 32.303346
2025-06-22 0.221872 0.561861 1.333123 3.165242 7.335696 16.230877 36.381300
2025-06-29 0.200954 0.527812 1.294244 3.172771 7.578436 17.239310 39.715492
2025-07-06 0.171800 0.468483 1.188174 3.009551 7.413388 17.346775 41.092238
2025-07-13 0.161619 0.455763 1.191258 3.106559 7.864799 18.870057 45.818010
2025-07-20 0.155506 0.452753 1.217724 3.264473 8.481484 20.837032 51.785534
2025-07-27 0.145516 0.437497 1.210955 3.337366 8.898423 22.384029 56.936094
2025-08-03 0.134638 0.417881 1.189965 3.370292 9.218559 23.734673 61.763377
2025-08-10 0.119702 0.383873 1.125411 3.277784 9.202427 24.261594 64.617137